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25 April 2020 / Last updated : 15 October 2020 Prof. David Wray Health

Who will die from the Covid-19 epidemic and lockdown?

Background When a novel virus infects a population unhindered, it will spread exponentially, some will die, most will recover and develop immunity and as herd immunity increases, viral spread diminishes and the epidemic resolves.  During its course, the consequences may be catastrophic, as in 1918.  Thus, governments stepped in with population lockdown to reduce the […]

21 April 2020 / Last updated : 16 October 2020 Chris Lees About us

The data is dead. Long live the data! Helping where I can in a global pandemic.

Just over a month ago – the 18th March 2020 to be precise – I got a call from my good friend and colleague, Rob Wray. As is almost always the case when we speak, we exchanged what would conventionally be called ‘pleasantries’, although Rob and I have been through enough together that these involved […]

12 April 2020 / Last updated : 29 July 2021 Chris Lees Education

Lock-down: did it work, and did we do it at the right time?

Lots of people are asking these questions. Many people are struggling with lock-down. It is hurting us financially, physically and mentally. So it is only natural to ask the question “is it right?”. I want to set some expectations. The answer is, of course, we don’t know. Not yet anyway. But let me explain why […]

10 April 2020 / Last updated : 16 October 2020 Dr Rob Wray About us

Love in a time of Corona

No self-respecting blog is complete without a slightly misinformed high literature reference; and this one’s no different!  However, our wider mission is less about the scholarly symbolism (although with Marquez, I’m sure there is some), and more about the ‘misinformation’ bit. You’ll have heard that Covid-19 is changing our world as we know it.  Into […]

25 March 2020 / Last updated : 15 October 2020 Chris Lees Education

Staff scheduling and rotas

Key providers need to continue to provide services to their service users. However, these services are impacted by two factors: measures to reduce the spread of the virus, for example isolation and social distancing; and changes to the service users qualifying to access the service, for example only children with key worker parents can access […]

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